Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
PAS
1 - 1
MIL
44%
27%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
MIL
2 - 1
CAL
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
BUC
2 - 1
MIL
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2003 |
MIL
4 - 1
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
JUN
0 - 1
MIL
48%
26%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
QUI
2 - 2
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
TOL
4 - 0
IND
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 2
SFE
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
PAS
0 - 1
TOL
52%
25%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAL
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |