Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
65%
20%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
MIL
1 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 0
MIL
36%
28%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
MIL
0 - 1
CAL
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
QUI
1 - 0
MIL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
TOL
0 - 0
HUI
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
IND
1 - 2
TOL
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
TOL
2 - 1
JUN
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
ENV
3 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
TOL
4 - 0
AME
36%
27%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |