Millonarios vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
MIL
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 0
CUC
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
PAL
3 - 1
MIL
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 0
JUN
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
QUI
4 - 1
CHI
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
AGU
4 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 1
CAL
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
QUI
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
QUI
0 - 1
ONC
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |