Millonarios vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SFE
0 - 2
MIL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
BOG
1 - 1
MIL
26%
25%
50%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 1
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CUC
2 - 0
QUI
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
QUI
26%
25%
50%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
QUI
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 0
TOL
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |