Millonarios vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
4 - 1
MIL
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
AME
1 - 1
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MIL
2 - 0
EQU
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
PER
1 - 0
MIL
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 3
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
EQU
1 - 0
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
HUI
0 - 0
QUI
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 0
JUN
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
QUI
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |