Millonarios vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 0
MIL
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
EQU
1 - 2
MIL
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 2
AGU
49%
26%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 1
SFE
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BOG
2 - 0
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
BOG
0 - 1
LLA
51%
23%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JAG
3 - 0
BOG
56%
24%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
BOG
3 - 0
REA
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
BOG
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |