Millonarios vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
3 - 4
SFE
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 0
AGU
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
EQU
2 - 1
MIL
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 0
MIL
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
CAR
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
BOG
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 1
RSC
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 1
ACA
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 0
BOG
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BOG
3 - 3
RIO
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |