Millonarios vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
MIL
1 - 0
CAL
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
EQU
0 - 3
MIL
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
MIL
3 - 1
IND
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 2
MIL
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 1
MIL
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 0
BOG
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
BOG
3 - 0
AFC
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
BOG
0 - 0
ACA
57%
23%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
BOG
0 - 0
TFC
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
PAT
1 - 1
BOG
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |