Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SFE
1 - 0
MIL
28%
28%
44%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
MIL
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MIL
2 - 1
CAL
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MIL
3 - 2
EQU
57%
25%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
PER
2 - 0
PAS
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PAS
1 - 0
ONC
42%
28%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
EQU
0 - 0
PAS
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
3 - 1
PAS
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
PAS
4 - 0
PER
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |