Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
ACA
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 2
MIL
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 0
MIL
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
CUC
2 - 1
MIL
21%
27%
53%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pasto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2012 |
AME
3 - 0
PAS
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PAS
2 - 0
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
3 - 0
PAS
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
PAS
0 - 0
UNI
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
CAL
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |