Millenium vs River Plate David analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millenium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CEN
0 - 1
MIL
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 1
NAC
42%
26%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 2
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
MIL
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
0 - 0
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate David
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
4 - 5
CHI
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
COS
2 - 0
RIV
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 2
RIO
21%
24%
56%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 3
VER
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GEM
4 - 1
RIV
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |