Millenium vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millenium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COL
1 - 5
MIL
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
MIL
4 - 1
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
COS
2 - 1
MIL
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
MIL
4 - 2
GEM
44%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CEN
3 - 1
CHI
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COS
3 - 1
CEN
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 0
RIO
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VER
0 - 1
CEN
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
SUN
1 - 2
CEN
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |