Millbrook vs Tavistock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
65.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millbrook
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MLB
4 - 0
BRI
55%
21%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
SAL
4 - 6
MLB
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MLB
2 - 2
SAL
21%
20%
59%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
MLB
0 - 2
MAF
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
MLB
0 - 1
BRI
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tavistock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
TAV
1 - 2
BRI
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
TAV
3 - 0
MAF
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
STA
2 - 3
TAV
10%
15%
75%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
ILF
1 - 2
TAV
13%
17%
70%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 0
TAV
23%
20%
57%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -2 |