Millbrook vs Mousehole AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
78%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millbrook
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 0
MLB
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MLB
0 - 1
WEL
71%
17%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MLB
2 - 0
KEY
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 1
MLB
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ILF
5 - 3
MLB
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mousehole AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAF
2 - 1
BRI
63%
19%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 4
MAF
28%
21%
51%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 0
ASH
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MAF
5 - 0
CAD
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STR
1 - 3
MAF
14%
18%
68%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |