Millbrook vs Brixham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
67.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Millbrook
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
ILF
4 - 1
MLB
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MLB
0 - 4
BAR
11%
16%
74%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 1
MLB
56%
20%
25%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 0
MLB
69%
16%
15%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
STR
2 - 3
MLB
74%
15%
11%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Brixham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 0
BFC
62%
19%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NAT
2 - 1
BFC
31%
22%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
6 - 0
STB
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 0
ILF
56%
20%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HEA
2 - 0
BFC
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |