Milan vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
19%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
21.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
ACM
3 - 2
GEN
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
JUV
2 - 1
ACM
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 1
CAT
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
PAD
0 - 1
ACM
41%
23%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
PES
1 - 1
ACM
24%
28%
48%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
PAG
0 - 0
SSS
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 0
ARZ
54%
22%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
FCC
2 - 1
SSS
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 1
USC
51%
28%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
SSS
0 - 0
CES
39%
30%
30%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |