Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
ATL
5 - 0
ACM
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ACM
0 - 0
SAS
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 3
ACM
35%
27%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 1
ACM
22%
27%
50%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
ACM
1 - 1
NAP
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 2
JUV
15%
23%
62%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAM
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 1
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
CAG
2 - 1
SAM
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
CAG
4 - 3
SAM
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |