Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
LUD
0 - 3
ACM
27%
25%
49%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 4
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
UDI
1 - 1
ACM
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 0
LAZ
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ACM
2 - 1
LAZ
34%
25%
40%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 0
VER
71%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
TOR
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 1
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
ROM
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SAM
3 - 1
FIO
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |