Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 2
ACM
26%
24%
49%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ACM
3 - 1
CAG
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 1
ACM
50%
24%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ACM
2 - 2
VER
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
ACM
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
2 - 0
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
INT
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 2
SAM
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 0
CAG
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAM
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |