Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 2
ACM
33%
27%
40%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ACM
3 - 0
INT
39%
26%
35%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACM
33%
26%
41%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 1
BAR
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
TOT
0 - 0
ACM
53%
24%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 2
LEC
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
SAM
42%
29%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 1
PAR
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 0
SAM
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SAM
2 - 3
CES
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |