Milan vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
INT
1 - 2
ACM
62%
21%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ACM
0 - 0
JUV
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
ACM
1 - 2
SPE
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
ACM
3 - 1
GEN
79%
14%
7%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
VNZ
0 - 3
ACM
15%
22%
64%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 3
LAZ
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ATL
33%
23%
44%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
LAZ
1 - 0
UDI
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 3
LAZ
16%
23%
62%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
INT
2 - 1
LAZ
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |