Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LEC
2 - 2
ACM
18%
23%
60%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
ACM
0 - 1
TOR
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ACM
2 - 2
ROM
56%
23%
21%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 2
ACM
12%
21%
67%
|
91 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
PSV
3 - 0
ACM
38%
25%
38%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
VER
85%
11%
4%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
INT
2 - 1
PAR
87%
9%
3%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ASS
2 - 2
INT
12%
20%
69%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
NAP
50%
23%
27%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
SAS
0 - 1
INT
15%
20%
65%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |