Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 3-0
Milan vs Universitatea Craiova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
CSU
0 - 1
ACM
19%
24%
58%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
BYM
0 - 4
ACM
77%
15%
7%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
ACM
1 - 3
BVB
21%
21%
58%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2017 |
LUG
0 - 4
ACM
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
CAG
2 - 1
ACM
28%
24%
47%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Universitatea Craiova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
STB
1 - 1
CSU
58%
24%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
CSU
0 - 1
ACM
19%
24%
58%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CSU
1 - 1
CON
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
CSU
2 - 0
CSM
42%
29%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
CSU
0 - 2
DYN
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |