Milan vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
VER
0 - 0
ACM
34%
28%
38%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1969 |
ACM
1 - 1
VAR
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 1
ACM
44%
27%
29%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1969 |
ACM
4 - 1
AJA
55%
22%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
PAL
0 - 0
ACM
20%
31%
49%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 0
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
VER
4 - 3
COM
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
CAT
0 - 1
COM
45%
31%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
COM
3 - 0
PAD
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
COM
2 - 0
LIV
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |