Milan U19 vs Cesena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 3
MIL
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MIL
2 - 5
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
VER
0 - 3
MIL
13%
18%
69%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MIL
6 - 1
SAS
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
UDI
0 - 1
MIL
16%
20%
64%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CES
3 - 1
INT
30%
26%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
ATA
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 0
CES
43%
24%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CES
1 - 1
MOD
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
CES
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |