Milan U17 vs SPAL U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
2º
7º
2º
31
10º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CIT
2 - 1
MIL
7%
14%
79%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MIL
5 - 4
CRE
81%
12%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MIL
6 - 2
CIT
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
UDI
0 - 1
MIL
6%
14%
81%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MIL
6 - 1
CAG
83%
12%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 1
BRE
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UDI
3 - 1
SPA
8%
16%
76%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VNZ
2 - 2
SPA
11%
18%
70%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 1
ASS
77%
14%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 0
COM
88%
9%
4%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |