Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 0-2
Mika vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
44.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
VIF
1 - 0
MIK
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
MIK
0 - 1
PYU
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
ULI
1 - 2
MIK
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
MIK
0 - 1
GAN
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
IMP
1 - 0
MIK
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
TRO
4 - 1
VIF
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
VIF
1 - 0
MIK
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
VIF
2 - 0
TRO
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
VIF
2 - 2
STR
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
VIF
1 - 2
MFK
49%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |