Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 1-3
Mika vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
SPL
2 - 0
MIK
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 3
MIK
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MIK
1 - 1
ALA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GAN
1 - 2
MIK
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
SHI
2 - 0
MIK
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
SPL
2 - 0
MIK
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
SPL
1 - 1
LOK
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
HDR
3 - 2
SPL
24%
28%
49%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
OSI
3 - 1
SPL
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SPL
2 - 2
RIJ
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |