Mika vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
MIK
0 - 2
GAN
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PYU
0 - 0
MIK
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MIK
2 - 1
BAN
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ULI
1 - 2
MIK
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
MIK
1 - 2
SHI
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2012 |
GAN
1 - 2
SHI
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SHI
3 - 1
IMP
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SHI
1 - 0
IMP
18%
22%
59%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SHI
0 - 1
PYU
27%
28%
46%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
3 - 0
SHI
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |