Mika vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2006 |
PYU
2 - 3
MIK
59%
21%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
MIK
2 - 0
ARA
61%
24%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
ULI
2 - 3
MIK
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2006 |
MIK
2 - 0
KIL
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2006 |
PYU
0 - 1
MIK
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2006 |
PYU
7 - 0
SHI
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
GAN
2 - 2
SHI
57%
22%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
SHI
1 - 1
ARA
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ULI
1 - 2
SHI
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SHI
1 - 1
KIL
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |