Mika vs Gandzasar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
12º
10º
71
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BKM
5 - 0
MIK
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
MIK
0 - 1
SYU
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 3
MIK
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
MIK
0 - 1
SHI
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
4 - 1
MIK
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GAN
3 - 0
ARA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
GAN
1 - 0
BKM
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
SYU
0 - 1
GAN
24%
25%
52%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
GAN
0 - 0
ALA
26%
24%
51%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GAN
9 - 0
ALA
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |