Mika vs Gandzasar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
MIK
3 - 1
KIL
77%
17%
7%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
SHI
0 - 1
MIK
27%
29%
44%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
BAN
2 - 1
MIK
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
MIK
0 - 0
ULI
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
ARA
4 - 1
MIK
54%
27%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gandzasar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
GAN
3 - 0
SHI
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
BAN
0 - 0
GAN
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ULI
1 - 2
GAN
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GAN
0 - 0
ARA
43%
26%
30%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
PYU
4 - 1
GAN
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |