Miguel Rua-Don Bosco vs Marte CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
43.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguel Rua-Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
OZA
5 - 2
MRD
42%
23%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GAL
2 - 1
MRD
63%
18%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MRD
0 - 6
PRE
38%
21%
42%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 1
MRD
79%
12%
9%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
MRD
66%
17%
17%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marte CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAS
32%
21%
48%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 8
ESP
23%
22%
56%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ORZ
0 - 2
MAR
39%
22%
40%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
CCO
55%
19%
26%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAR
39%
21%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |