Miguel Rua-Don Bosco vs Atlético dos Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguel Rua-Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ESP
5 - 0
MRD
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MRD
1 - 1
ORZ
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CCO
0 - 3
MRD
47%
20%
33%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MRD
1 - 0
MAR
38%
21%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 5
MRD
56%
19%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 5
SAR
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 3
ESP
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ORZ
3 - 2
CAS
37%
21%
42%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
5 - 0
CCO
74%
14%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 2
CAS
31%
20%
49%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |