Miguel Esteban AD vs UD Carrión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
41.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguel Esteban AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
HEL
1 - 0
MES
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MIG
2 - 3
MES
58%
22%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MES
1 - 2
MEM
42%
25%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ALM
4 - 0
MES
71%
18%
11%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MES
1 - 1
ALC
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UD Carrión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
UDC
1 - 1
MIG
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MEM
0 - 1
UDC
47%
24%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UDC
3 - 0
ALM
21%
23%
56%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
4 - 1
UDC
54%
21%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UDC
1 - 1
PED
18%
23%
59%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |