Miguel Esteban AD vs Sporting de Alcazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguel Esteban AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
PED
3 - 0
MES
72%
18%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
CVA
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MES
2 - 0
DAI
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
APU
3 - 4
MES
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MES
7 - 1
AJA
80%
14%
7%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting de Alcazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 0
MIG
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MEM
3 - 1
ALC
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
TER
3 - 1
ALC
47%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ALC
2 - 0
CDL
70%
17%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
INF
2 - 3
ALC
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |