Miguel Esteban AD vs Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Miguel Esteban AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 0
MES
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MES
2 - 0
FDE
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FUE
1 - 3
MES
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MES
2 - 3
SON
35%
24%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CDP
0 - 2
MES
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 0
HOR
36%
23%
41%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ADS
2 - 0
CAL
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 2
VIL
27%
22%
50%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
QUI
3 - 0
CAL
72%
17%
12%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 0
ADS
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |