Mighty Barolle vs Freeport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
7º
4º
26
10º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mighty Barolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LIS
4 - 0
MBA
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MBA
1 - 1
BEA
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 0
MBA
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
MBA
0 - 1
MUS
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CCE
1 - 1
MBA
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Freeport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
6 - 1
NIM
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
NKW
1 - 0
FRE
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
PYC
1 - 1
FRE
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 3
LIS
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEA
0 - 0
FRE
59%
23%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |