Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 2-0
Midtjylland vs Sūduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
MID
1 - 0
RAN
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
MID
2 - 1
ESB
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
MID
4 - 1
FCN
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
AAB
0 - 0
MID
34%
26%
41%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
RAN
1 - 2
MID
30%
26%
44%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
SUD
3 - 3
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
LIE
1 - 1
SUD
19%
23%
59%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LIE
0 - 1
SUD
16%
19%
66%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
UUT
0 - 4
SUD
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SUD
1 - 0
KZA
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |