UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 3-0
Midtjylland vs Lincoln Red Imps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
15.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
MID
2 - 1
AGF
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ANZ
3 - 1
MID
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
MID
2 - 1
SON
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
FCN
1 - 0
MID
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
MID
2 - 3
BIF
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 2
LRI
27%
22%
51%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
LRI
0 - 0
SCO
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
LRI
4 - 1
LYN
54%
21%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LIO
0 - 12
LRI
18%
23%
59%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LRI
2 - 1
JOS
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |