UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 1-2
Midtjylland vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
MID
3 - 1
ESB
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
AST
2 - 1
MID
32%
24%
44%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
AAB
2 - 1
MID
19%
23%
59%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
MID
0 - 0
AGF
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
AZA
1 - 1
MID
47%
23%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
AST
2 - 0
ATY
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
AST
2 - 1
MID
32%
24%
44%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
SUT
0 - 2
AST
25%
24%
52%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
AST
2 - 0
SHA
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
AST
1 - 0
SUT
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |