Midtjylland vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
1º
36
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midtjylland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 1
MID
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCN
3 - 0
MID
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
MID
3 - 3
WAR
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MID
0 - 1
BIF
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
MID
5 - 1
OMO
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 0
LYN
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
OBK
1 - 1
AGF
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
AGF
2 - 2
SIF
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HVI
0 - 2
AGF
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
AGF
1 - 0
BRU
14%
21%
64%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |