Midland vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SBA
0 - 4
MID
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
MID
2 - 2
MER
46%
27%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -3 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
MID
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
MID
2 - 0
ITU
33%
29%
38%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
CCO
0 - 0
MID
66%
21%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
LUJ
1 - 0
SMA
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ARQ
2 - 0
LUJ
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LAF
2 - 2
LUJ
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
LUJ
0 - 1
ARM
56%
26%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
LUJ
1 - 2
DOC
63%
23%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |