Midland vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
LAF
0 - 0
MID
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MID
1 - 2
CCO
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
BER
0 - 0
MID
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
MID
4 - 1
DOC
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
LAM
1 - 0
MID
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MER
0 - 3
DOC
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
LAM
0 - 0
MER
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 0
MER
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MER
3 - 2
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
ALE
5 - 0
MER
27%
26%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |