Midland vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ARQ
2 - 1
MID
52%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
MID
0 - 0
SAC
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
LAM
0 - 0
MID
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
STM
3 - 1
MID
42%
27%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
MID
0 - 0
LAF
42%
28%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
CAD
1 - 1
STM
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LAF
1 - 0
CAD
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
CAD
0 - 0
LUJ
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 1
CAD
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAD
2 - 1
CAM
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |