Midland vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
57.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Midland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JJU
1 - 1
MID
46%
26%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
MID
1 - 1
CAD
26%
26%
48%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
BER
2 - 1
MID
32%
26%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -3 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
DOC
2 - 0
MID
54%
24%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MID
2 - 1
LAM
32%
28%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 0
LAM
62%
24%
14%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
RIE
0 - 2
DEF
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
TAL
62%
25%
14%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LUJ
0 - 0
DEF
16%
26%
58%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
DOC
61%
25%
14%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |