Middlesbrough U23 vs Aston Villa U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
WOL
2 - 1
MID
43%
24%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
MID
0 - 1
CPA
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
CPA
3 - 2
MID
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
MID
4 - 1
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
MID
1 - 0
FUL
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
ASV
5 - 2
NOT
22%
22%
56%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
NSB
1 - 2
ASV
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 1
NSB
50%
23%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
MID
4 - 1
ASV
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 2
LUS
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |