Middlesbrough U21 vs Stoke City U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
7º
14
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 4
MID
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
MID
3 - 1
DCO
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
AVI
3 - 3
MID
66%
19%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 1
MID
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
STC
0 - 3
SOU
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
NWC
0 - 1
STC
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
POR
4 - 0
STC
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 1
STC
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
STC
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |