Middlesbrough U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
7º
41
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 1 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
NWC
0 - 0
MID
37%
21%
42%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
DCO
1 - 5
MID
11%
14%
75%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
MID
2 - 3
AVI
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 2
MID
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
STC
1 - 2
MID
30%
20%
50%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 1
NWC
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
SOU
0 - 2
NOT
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
NOT
0 - 0
WBA
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 3
NOT
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |