Middlesbrough U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
57.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
12º
9º
37
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LIV
3 - 1
MID
77%
13%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MID
0 - 2
STO
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LEE
2 - 4
MID
59%
19%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 2
MID
48%
21%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MID
0 - 6
MCI
8%
13%
79%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DER
5 - 2
BLA
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
EVE
1 - 3
DER
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 1
DER
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DER
0 - 3
MCI
13%
19%
69%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STO
0 - 1
DER
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |